Meaning of Hezbollah
Hezbollah is an arabic word, meaning party of God.
After isreal invaded and occupy Lebanon in 1982 during the Lebanese civil war but the group become official in 1985 with a manifesto detailing their goal of creating a shitte islamic state pledging alliance to iran leader and vow to fight isreal occupation of Lebanon and Palestine terrories.
How popular is Hezbollah in Lebanon
Support for this group( Hezbollah )has grown over the years . Israel withdrew from Lebanon in the year 2000 many Lebanese celebrated Hezbollah as their liberator . Other also started pushing for Hezbollah to cease it military operations and allow the Lebanese armed forces take over military operations of securing Lebanon's border from Hezbollah.
Anti human right activities dented Hezbollah popularity and on April 14 2005 , Lebanese prime minister was killed who was known for condemning Hezbollah and syria with evidence pointing at Hezbollah and syria responsible for his death.
The death of Lebanon prime minister lead to the Cedar revolution leading to the departure of syrian forces from Lebanon making a drop in Hezbollah popularity.
Recent poll show that there is decrease in the Lebanese trust on Hezbollah as only 30% trust Hezbollah whereas 55% does not trust the group at all , although Hezbollah retain 85 % trust of shitte muslim only 9 % of sunnis and Druze 6% of christains trust militia.
Hezbollah structure
It is structural original of seven members created in 1980s with branches and committees overseeing different affairs ranging from social , financial, political and military 🪖 issues with regional office in the country eastern region and south Lebanon .
After the civil war two more bodies was added
The executive counsil and the religious counsel both counsel of Hezbollah swear alliance to iran leader.
Who is Nasrallah's
He is the secretary general of Hezbollah and one of the major decision makers his death is a major blow to the group as such attack demoralize Hezbollah fighters and pass the message that isreal will no longer take tit for tat approach on it northern border .
Lebanon step back all eyes on iran
Both Israel and Hezbollah have step back from this stage from further action paving way for iran.
Most analyst assumes that there may be a coordinator revenge attack for both the killing of shukr and assassination of hamas leader ismail in july this may include missles and rocket from iran , Hezbollah in lebanon and houthi rebels in yemen and shi'a militant group in syria and iraq.
Iran maybe be trying to work out the best way to respond to isreal assault on Hezbollah and hamas.
Iran and israel defence capabilities
Iran attack Israeli major cities with at least 180 ballistic missiles on Tuesday with Israel l prime minister vowing retaliation saying iran have made a big mistake and will pay for it, united state has claim that it help Israel in tharting iran attack , pleading support for it ally to retaliate on iran .
Number of solders
Iran has 610,000 active solders including 350,000 in the army , 18000 in navy , 37000 in air force and
15000 in air defence
Israel has 169500 active personal , 126000 in the army, 9500 in the navy, 34000 in the air force and 465000 reserve.
Military spending
Iran spent $10.3bn in 2023, a 0.6 percent increase from 2022.
Israel spent $27 billion in 2023, a 24 percent increase from 2022 — a surge in part fuelled by the war on Gaza following October 7.
Ground forces
According to The Military Balance 2023:
Iran has over 10,513 battle tanks, more than 6,798 artillery guns and more than 640 armoured personal carriers. The army also has 50 helicopters while the IRGC has 5 helicopters.
Israel has around 400 battle tanks, 530 artillery guns and more than 1,190 personal carriers.
Air force
According to The Military Balance 2023:
Iran: The air force has 312 combat-capable aircraft and the IRGC has another 23. The air force has two attack helicopters, the army has 50 and the IRGC has five..
Conclusion
A war between iran and israel can escalate into a world war, with both israel and iran calling their Ally's for support this may turn out to be a third world war but at the moment , we believe a diplomatic decision can be put in place to avoid this disaster.